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Home arrow Economics arrow China’s Macroeconomic Outlook Quarterly Forecast

A short course of lectures
«China’s Macroeconomic Outlook Quarterly Forecast»





Forecasts of Growth Rates of Other Major Macroeconomic IndicatorsThe Result of Policy SimulationsForecast of China's Economy During 2015–2016The Simulation Result of Scenario 1Import and Export Growth Fell Sharply, but the Trade Structure Continued to ImproveProfessor Liu Shucheng, Member of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences: Ideal Path and Growth Potential of the “New Normal”Forecasts of China's Major Macroeconomic Indicators for 2015–2016Forecasts of Major Price IndicesEconomic Growth Continued to Fall, but the Proportion of the Tertiary Industry Continued to ImproveA Report of the Questionnaire Survey on the Macroeconomic Situation and Policy of China in 2015Professor Wang Luolin, Ad Hoc Consultant and Former Executive Vice President of the Chinese AcademyAppendixPolicy Implications and SuggestionsExport, Import, and Reserve GrowthYang Ruilong, Professor of School of Economics, Renmin University of China: Emphasizing the Bottom-Line Management While Facing New Challenges UnderProfessor Zhang Yansheng, General SecretaryThe Growth Rate of ConsumptionJia Yandong, Researcher and Deputy DirectorFiscal Revenue Growth Was Falling, but the Fiscal Expenditure Structure Continued to ImproveFixed Asset Investment Growth Fell Sharply, but the Investment Structure Started to ImproveThe Growth Rate of Broad Money Supply (M2)Price Index Continued the Trend of “Double Down,” and the Structural Deflation was IncreasingProfessor Gao Peiyong, President of Strategic Finance Academy, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences:The Growth Rate of Total Fixed CapitalResident Real Income Growth was SlowingAssumptions of Exogenous VariablesEconomic Growth Rates of the USA and the EurozonePolicy SimulationsThe Monetary Policy Targeted Eased, and Financing Costs Remained HighComments and DiscussionForecast of GDP GrowthJia Kang, President of China Academy of New SupplySide Economics and Professor of Research Institute for Fiscal Science, Ministry of Finance: The ReformBackground Analysis of Policy SimulationsScenario Design of Policy SimulationsMajor Exchange RatesThe Simulation Results of Scenario 2The Industrial Profit Growth Declined Sharply, and Eliminating Backward Production Capacity Achieved Certain ProgressA Review of China's Economy in 2014
 
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