Appendix
Statistic comparison of the forecast by research group with the forecast by 100 experts on major indicators of China's macroeconomy
Major indicators of China's macroeconomy in 2015 |
Forecast by research group (%) |
The interval and ratio of forecast |
|
By experts (%) |
|||
Interval |
Ratio |
||
The growth rate of China's GDP |
7.14 |
7.0–7.2 |
56 |
The growth rate of China's CPI |
1.74 |
1.6–2.0 |
51 |
The growth rate of China's PPI |
−2.15 |
−1.9 to −1.0 |
50 |
A cumulative year-on-year nominal growth of China's total retail sales of consumer goods |
11.80 |
11.6–12.0 |
27 |
12.1–12.5 |
48 |
||
A cumulative year-on-year nominal growth of China's fixed investments |
10.65 |
15.1–16.0 |
33 |
14.0–15.0 |
26 |