Appendix

Statistic comparison of the forecast by research group with the forecast by 100 experts on major indicators of China's macroeconomy

Major indicators of China's macroeconomy in 2015

Forecast by research group (%)

The interval and ratio of forecast

By experts (%)

Interval

Ratio

The growth rate of China's GDP

7.14

7.0–7.2

56

The growth rate of China's CPI

1.74

1.6–2.0

51

The growth rate of China's PPI

−2.15

−1.9 to −1.0

50

A cumulative year-on-year nominal growth of China's total retail sales of consumer goods

11.80

11.6–12.0

27

12.1–12.5

48

A cumulative year-on-year nominal growth of China's fixed investments

10.65

15.1–16.0

33

14.0–15.0

26

 
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