Four dot points to end the chapter

Table of Contents:

• The economic analysis of terrorism has a tendency to focus on exceptional situations rather than the everyday of police work, law enforcement, intelligence and counter-terrorism.

  • • The exceptional situations are usually very structured and this fact makes highly structured theories, such as game theory and some orthodox models, appear to be far more relevant to the problem of terrorism and counter-terrorism than they really are.
  • • The everyday of human decision-making is much messier but still structured enough by frameworks, rules, laws and conventions that patterns of behaviour can be identified and used to make sense of even very complex situations.
  • • Innovations shape and re-shape the terrorism and law enforcement contexts. When new innovations appear, especially technological innovations, we must be careful not to overlook their very human roots. This is certainly the case for predictive policing.

Notes

  • 1 Harvey (1968, p. 8).
  • 2 Ethnographies and other first-hand accounts of police work are available. See, for example, Baker (1985).
  • 3 This refers to the caseTerry v Ohio (1968), which set the legal standard for police stops.
  • 4 Stop and frisk attracted much commentary during the 2016 presidential election (see Cassady 2017).
  • 5 A game theorist might come up with a very clever proof that nobody will go to coffee at all.
  • 6 If the crime was unsuccessful, say an interrupted burglary attempt, this might place the offender(s) in the domain of losses.Their risk-seeking behaviour will now prompt a repeat attempt at the same location or nearby. In fact, it is initial failure that might be more likely than initial success to prompt a repeat attempt.

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