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The China–US Trade War and South Asian Economies

Table of contents List of Figures List of Tables List of Contributors Acknowledgements Abbreviations The background The timeline of the trade war so far Assessing the impact of the conflict Prelude to the chapters References I US–China trade war Global economic impact of US–China trade tensions Introduction Literature review Methodology Results and conclusions Note References US–China trade war: A new order or a secular decline of economic outlook?Introduction US–China and the share of global trade The upsurge of China: the sequential context US trade deficit with China: a billion-plus growing market Implications for the US policy Global value chains (GVCs): transition from crisis to opportunity Concluding reflections: new realignment and possible consequences Note References US–China trade war: An analysis of trade relations Introduction US–China trade war: probable reasons Trade data: some preliminary analyses USA’s trade with China, South Asia, and South-East Asian countries US imports from China, Hong Kong, South Asia, and South-East Asia US exports to China, Hong Kong, South Asia, and South-East Asia China’s trade with USA, South and South-East Asian countries China’s imports from USA, South and South-East Asian countries China’s exports to USA, South and South-East Asian countries Conclusion Notes References Impact of US–China trade war on the global economy, free trade, and WTO Introduction Literature review Impact of US–China trade war on international trade Impact of US–China trade war on free trade and WTO Conclusion Note References II What is there for the regional economy?US–China trade war: An opportunity for India Introduction Review of literature Data source and methodology Revealed Comparative Advantage Conclusions Notes References Implications of US–China trade war for India Introduction India’s trade story India’s exports India’s imports Broad Economic Classification (BEC)India’s exports and imports Indian trade patterns of intermediate goods Indian trade pattern of final goods India’s pattern of trade in capital goods Implications of US–China trade war for India Conclusions Appendix Notes References US–China trade war: The potential impact on Bangladesh Introduction US–China trade war unfolds Impact on Bangladesh Relocating factories from China to Bangladesh Importing agricultural products at lower cost Attracting Chinese investment to Bangladesh Steel and iron Policy recommendation Notes References US–China trade war: Trade and investment implications for Sri Lanka Introduction Brief background to the US–China trade war Literature review Sri Lanka’s trade and FDI performance Implications of trade war for Sri Lanka’s exports to the US Finger–Kreinin Index (FKI) and Relative Export Competitive Pressure Index (RECPI)Bilateral Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA)SMART model Implications for investment diversion to Sri Lanka Efforts to attract FDI from China Conclusion Appendix Acknowledgement References III Decoding the benefit of preferential trading partners US–China trade war and the RCEP negotiations: An analysis Introduction US–China economic and trade agreement and RCEP timeline Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) agreement Current engagements in FTAs of US and RCEP-I Comparing other FTAs with RCEP Trade and investment relationship of US and China with RCEP-I Imports Exports Foreign direct investment Integration into regional and global value chains Intellectual property and innovation The impact of unexpected events Notes References US–China trade war: Impact on potential trade of their FTA partners Introduction Research methodology and data sources Data analysis and interpretations Note References IV Is it for the establishment of technological supremacy?The US–China technology conflict: The causes Introduction Is there a casus belli for a trade war?Does China protect against imports?State-owned enterprises The real problem is FDI Forced transfer of technology': a casus belli?Has forced technology transfer affected profits?Conclusion Notes Acknowledgements References Technology rents and the new Great Game Introduction How the data-driven economy sets the stage for conflict The US–China dynamics A bit of history What changed?The groundwork is laid for confrontation on the battleground of technology The technological trigger The Great Game Potential policy responses References Conclusion The impact on the global economy Impact of South Asian region Connecting the dots for the RCEP and other FTAs Technology war in the guise of a trade war

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