Tables containing results obtained in case of model M0, i.e. SUREdiag

Estimated values of logarithms of quarterly regional GDP per worker and 95% confidence intervals obtained in case of model Af; see Equation (6.10)

Figure 6.4 Estimated values of logarithms of quarterly regional GDP per worker and 95% confidence intervals obtained in case of model Af₀; see Equation (6.10)

Figure 6.4 (continued)

Estimated values of quarterly regional annual GDP per worker logarithmic growth rates and 95% confidence intervals obtained in case of model M; see Equation (6.14)

Figure 6.5 Estimated values of quarterly regional annual GDP per worker logarithmic growth rates and 95% confidence intervals obtained in case of model M_o; see Equation (6.14)

Figure 6.5 (continued)

Table 6.4 Estimated values of logarithms of quarterly regional GDP per worker obtained in the case of model M_o

	Dolnoslaskie	Kujawsko-pomorskie	Lubelskie	Lubuskie	Lodzkie	Malopolskie	Mazowieckie
2005Q1	5.871	5.471	5.622	5.581	5.414	5.775	6.416
2005Q2	5.721	5.466	5.545	5.403	5.389	5.523	6.311
2005Q3	5.743	5.547	5.657	5.351	5.447	5.559	6.297
2005Q4	5.684	5.534	5.658	5.456	5.471	5.665	6.351
2006Q1	5.611	5.631	5.725	5.514	5.441	5.800	6.415
2006Q2	5.734	5.532	5.555	5.419	5.409	5.633	6.168
2006Q3	5.809	5.563	5.670	5.335	5.470	5.640	6.218
2006Q4	5.728	5.717	5.728	5.395	5.532	5.813	6.290
2007Q1	5.686	5.772	5.707	5.410	5.544	5.782	6.292
2007Q2	5.790	5.534	5.668	5.387	5.466	5.583	6.071
2007Q3	5.692	5.480	5.717	5.527	5.448	5.632	6.115
2007Q4	5.620	5.686	5.676	5.434	5.465	5.734	6.172
2008Q1	5.803	5.789	5.621	5.295	5.522	5.740	6.218
2008Q2	5.825	5.666	5.650	5.446	5.422	5.723	6.115
2008Q3	5.381	5.585	5.671	5.570	5.352	5.655	5.976
2008Q4	5.373	5.685	5.715	5.392	5.457	5.678	6.166
2009Q1	5.753	5.758	5.887	5.475	5.435	5.719	6.452
2009Q2	6.025	5.657	5.623	5.663	5.313	5.752	6.235
2009Q3	5.759	5.702	5.550	5.538	5.411	5.760	6.247
2009Q4	5.813	5.707	5.718	5.524	5.534	5.752	6.378
2010Q1	5.842	5.715	5.866	5.629	5.605	5.802	6.553
2010Q2	5.928	5.668	5.710	5.548	5.518	5.829	6.471
2010Q3	5.909	5.678	5.709	5.492	5.546	5.828	6.346
2010Q4	5.919	5.614	5.825	5.586	5.575	5.790	6.415
2011Q1	5.877	5.691	5.878	5.576	5.568	5.893	6.463
2011Q2	5.882	5.675	5.713	5.501	5.518	5.851	6.454
2011Q3	5.843	5.717	5.748	5.520	5.563	5.798	6.447
2011Q4	5.920	5.718	5.748	5.552	5.537	5.773	6.393
2012Q1	5.900	5.768	5.838	5.634	5.616	5.901	6.467
2012Q2	5.875	5.764	5.784	5.645	5.575	5.794	6.489
2012Q3	5.813	5.771	5.743	5.596	5.527	5.721	6.408
2012Q4	5.857	5.755	5.751	5.579	5.634	5.774	6.408
2013Q1	5.877	5.776	5.847	5.668	5.719	5.889	6.570
2013Q	5.897	5.751	5.718	5.588	5.605	5.790	6.444
2013Q3	5.834	5.796	5.751	5.567	5.570	5.765	6.325
2013Q4	5.911	5.755	5.752	5.565	5.653	5.842	6.476
2014Q1	5.950	5.793	5.829	5.638	5.667	5.935	6.594
2014Q2	5.971	5.754	5.643	5.627	5.636	5.879	6.429
2014Q3	5.954	5.765	5.624	5.623	5.632	5.864	6.343
2014Q4	5.949	5.776	5.742	5.637	5.754	5.849	6.417
2015Q1	5.934	5.852	5.843	5.627	5.729	5.928	6.539

Podkarpackie	Podlaskie	Pomorskie	Slaskie	Swietokrzyskie	Warminsko-mazurskie	Wielkopolskie	Zachodniopomorskie
5.460	5.832	5.776	5.550	5.801	5.509	5.606	5.837
5.340	5.673	5.840	5.555	5.715	5.405	5.572	5.709
5.409	5.738	5.924	5.662	5.616	5.488	5.598	5.814
5.457	5.857	5.886	5.640	5.581	5.546	5.626	5.875
5.453	5.843	5.912	5.577	5.760	5.607	5.665	5.833
5.353	5.522	5.743	5.512	5.739	5.535	5.607	5.726
5.394	5.574	5.622	5.580	5.560	5.496	5.598	5.801
5.438	5.763	5.805	5.664	5.494	5.490	5.702	5.947
5.436	5.715	5.953	5.601	5.586	5.542	5.727	5.829
5.383	5.610	5.741	5.552	5.583	5.405	5.698	5.806
5.407	5.744	5.654	5.606	5.499	5.405	5.721	5.851
5.418	5.947	5.783	5.699	5.427	5.472	5.736	5.884
5.428	5.872	5.921	5.598	5.276	5.457	5.758	5.878
5.443	5.902	5.756	5.554	5.311	5.375	5.763	5.842
5.451	5.801	5.725	5.602	5.424	5.456	5.736	5.763
5.468	5.796	5.784	5.695	5.455	5.565	5.775	5.791
5.535	5.795	5.764	5.634	5.403	5.595	5.816	5.897
5.492	5.743	5.775	5.535	5.382	5.571	5.791	5.756
5.504	5.749	5.862	5.578	5.516	5.627	5.751	5.735
5.545	5.721	5.667	5.674	5.581	5.618	5.805	5.826
5.630	5.845	5.825	5.706	5.582	5.725	5.869	5.874
5.522	5.722	5.767	5.623	5.449	5.577	5.816	5.780
5.512	5.814	5.829	5.687	5.499	5.544	5.820	5.821
5.556	5.868	5.929	5.778	5.560	5.545	5.894	5.899
5.592	5.870	5.926	5.662	5.634	5.586	5.910	5.836
5.518	5.786	5.860	5.628	5.498	5.551	5.823	5.796
5.550	5.840	5.949	5.695	5.439	5.553	5.818	5.857
5.576	5.902	5.990	5.766	5.508	5.510	5.879	5.893
5.610	5.955	6.017	5.698	5.653	5.562	5.910	5.835
5.525	5.837	5.921	5.636	5.588	5.615	5.827	5.883
5.536	5.803	5.972	5.669	5.519	5.548	5.805	5.972
5.581	5.881	5.998	5.765	5.559	5.589	5.868	5.908
5.644	6.001	6.010	5.703	5.687	5.691	5.900	5.871
5.547	5.890	5.886	5.635	5.643	5.614	5.845	5.940
5.571	5.816	5.844	5.675	5.592	5.587	5.811	5.973
5.622	5.876	5.812	5.762	5.542	5.654	5.864	5.939
5.678	5.951	5.769	5.728	5.675	5.770	5.906	5.985
5.554	5.882	5.809	5.673	5.602	5.675	5.880	5.985
5.552	5.813	5.861	5.654	5.527	5.684	5.843	5.934
5.633	5.893	5.841	5.748	5.577	5.704	5.878	5.972
5.655	5.928	5.826	5.764	5.742	5.834	5.945	5.988

Table 6.4 Cont.

	Dolnoslaskie	Kujawsko-pomorskie	Lubelskie	Lubuskie	Lodzkie	Malopolskie	Mazowieckie
2015Q2	6.043	5.801	5.678	5.609	5.697	5.892	6.412
2015Q3	5.961	5.795	5.702	5.610	5.778	5.873	6.379
2015Q4	5.997	5.853	5.768	5.661	5.786	5.877	6.436
2016Q1	5.908	5.873	5.861	5.654	5.789	5.896	6.523
2016Q2	5.899	5.809	5.698	5.649	5.651	5.870	6.413
2016Q3	5.973	5.829	5.697	5.724	5.785	5.876	6.401
2016Q4	6.031	5.860	5.796	5.750	5.751	5.867	6.359
2017Q1	5.924	5.910	5.895	5.763	5.703	5.874	6.401
2017Q2	6.013	5.797	5.758	5.716	5.730	5.875	6.465
2017Q3	6.134	5.833	5.788	5.682	5.860	5.992	6.423
2017Q4	6.237	5.923	5.918	5.738	5.740	5.976	6.414
2018Q1	6.342	5.944	5.916	5.671	5.582	5.881	6.494
2018Q2	6.151	5.874	5.798	5.662	5.731	6.001	6.481
2018Q3	6.227	5.919	5.906	5.717	5.803	6.055	6.413

Table 6.5 Estimated values of quarterly regional annual GDP per worker logarithmic growth rates obtained in the case of model M_o

	Dolnoslaskie	Kujawsko-pomorskie	Lubelskie	Lubuskie	Lodzkie	Malopolskie	Mazowieckie
2005Q1
2005Q2
2005Q3
2005Q4
2006Q1	-26.0	15.9	10.4	-6.7	2.7	2.5	-0.1
2006Q2	1.3	6.7	1.0	1.6	2.0	10.9	-14.2
2006Q3	6.5	1.6	1.3	-1.5	2.2	8.2	-7.9
2006Q4	4.4	18.2	7.0	-6.1	6.0	14.8	-6.1
2007Q1	7.5	14.2	-1.9	-10.5	10.3	-1.9	-12.3
2007Q2	5.6	0.2	11.3	-3.2	5.7	-5.0	-9.7
2007Q3	-11.6	-8.3	4.7	19.1	-2.2	-0.8	-10.3

Podkarpackie	Podlaskie	Pomorskie	Slaskie	Swietokrzyskie	Warminsko-mazurskie	Wielkopolskie	Zachodniopomorskie
5.541	5.786	5.794	5.710	5.621	5.703	5.882	5.963
5.587	5.833	5.933	5.677	5.574	5.665	5.921	5.962
5.628	5.902	5.939	5.757	5.669	5.741	5.936	5.957
5.647	5.947	5.912	5.772	5.737	5.863	5.993	5.994
5.562	5.868	5.808	5.727	5.533	5.732	5.956	6.016
5.583	5.904	5.955	5.738	5.469	5.659	5.954	6.008
5.608	5.925	5.872	5.775	5.610	5.788	6.004	5.988
5.649	5.989	5.917	5.739	5.695	5.922	6.013	6.040
5.559	5.877	6.015	5.684	5.609	5.706	5.966	6.043
5.583	5.972	5.964	5.736	5.644	5.610	5.968	6.042
5.603	5.936	5.978	5.775	5.636	5.812	6.031	6.066
5.638	5.959	6.036	5.805	5.675	5.878	6.034	6.073
5.573	5.873	6.034	5.800	5.689	5.654	6.034	6.051
5.611	5.930	6.048	5.767	5.708	5.653	6.022	6.025

Opolskie	Podkarpackie	Podlaskie	Pomorskie	Slaskie	Swietokrzyskie	Warminsko-mazurskie	Wielkopolskie	Zachodniopomorskie




-17.2	-0.8	1.1	13.6	2.7	-4.1	9.8	6.0	-0.5
1.5	1.3	-15.1	-9.7	-4.3	2.5	13.0	3.5	1.7
13.8	-1.6	-16.4	-30.2	-8.1	-5.6	0.9	0.0	-1.3
19.7	-1.9	-9.3	-8.1	2.5	-8.8	-5.6	7.6	7.2
5.4	-1.7	-12.8	4.2	2.4	-17.4	-6.5	6.2	-0.3
-1.3	2.9	8.7	-0.2	4.0	-15.6	-13.0	9.1	8.1
-11.8	1.4	17.0	3.2	2.6	-6.1	-9.1	12.3	5.0

Table 6.5 Cont.

	Dolnoslaskie	Kujawsko-pomorskie	Lubelskie	Lubuskie	Lodzkie	Malopolskie	Mazowieckie
2007Q4	-10.8	-3.1	-5.2	3.9	-6.6	-7.9	-11.8
2008Q1	11.7	1.7	-8.6	-11.5	-2.2	-4.2	-7.3
2008Q2	3.4	13.2	-1.8	6.0	-4.4	14.0	4.4
2008Q3	-31.1	10.5	-4.6	4.3	-9.6	2.3	-13.8
2008Q4	-24.6	-0.1	4.0	-4.2	-0.8	-5.6	-0.6
2009Q1	-5.0	-3.1	26.6	18.0	-8.7	-2.1	23.4
2009Q2	20.0	-0.9	-2.6	21.7	-11.0	2.9	12.0
2009Q3	37.8	11.8	-12.1	-3.1	5.8	10.5	27.1
2009Q4	44.0	2.1	0.2	13.2	7.7	7.4	21.2
2010Q1	8.9	-4.3	-2.0	15.4	17.0	8.4	10.0
2010Q2	-9.7	1.0	8.7	-11.5	20.6	7.7	23.6
2010Q3	15.0	-2.4	15.9	-4.6	13.6	6.8	9.9
2010Q4	10.5	-9.3	10.7	6.2	4.1	3.8	3.6
2011Q1	3.5	-2.5	1.2	-5.4	-3.7	9.0	-9.0
2011Q2	-4.6	0.7	0.3	-4.7	0.0	2.2	-1.7
2011Q3	-6.6	3.9	3.9	2.8	1.7	-3.0	10.1
2011Q4	0.2	10.4	-7.7	-3.4	-3.8	-1.7	-2.1
2012Q1	2.3	7.7	-4.1	5.8	4.7	0.9	0.5
2012Q2	-0.7	8.9	7.1	14.4	5.7	-5.7	3.4
2012Q3	-3.0	5.4	-0.6	7.6	-3.6	-7.7	-4.0
2012Q4	-6.3	3.7	0.4	2.8	9.7	0.2	1.5
2013Q1	-2.4	0.8	1.0	3.4	10.3	-1.2	10.3
2013Q	2.2	-1.3	-6.6	-5.7	3.0	-0.4	-4.4
2013Q3	2.1	2.4	0.8	-2.9	4.3	4.3	-8.2
2013Q4	5.4	0.1	0.1	-1.4	1.9	6.8	6.8
2014Q1	7.3	1.6	-1.9	-3.0	-5.1	4.6	2.4
2014Q2	7.4	0.3	-7.5	3.8	3.1	8.9	-1.5
2014Q3	12.1	-3.1	-12.7	5.6	6.1	9.9	1.8
2014Q4	3.9	2.0	-1.0	7.2	10.1	0.7	-5.9
2015Q1	-1.6	6.0	1.4	-1.1	6.2	-0.7	-5.6
2015Q2	7.3	4.7	3.6	-1.8	6.0	1.3	-1.7
2015Q3	0.7	3.0	7.8	-1.3	14.6	0.9	3.5
2015Q4	4.7	7.7	2.6	2.4	3.2	2.8	1.8
2016Q1	-2.6	2.1	1.8	2.7	6.0	-3.2	-1.5
2016Q2	-14.5	0.8	1.9	4.1	-4.6	-2.2	0.1
2016Q3	1.2	3.4	-0.5	11.5	0.7	0.3	2.2
2016Q4	3.4	0.7	2.9	8.9	-3.5	-1.0	-7.7
2017Q1	1.6	3.8	3.4	10.9	-8.6	-2.2	-12.2
2017Q2	11.4	-1.2	6.1	6.7	7.9	0.5	5.1
2017Q3	16.1	0.4	9.1	-4.2	7.5	11.7	2.3
2017Q4	20.6	6.3	12.1	-1.2	-1.1	10.9	5.6
2018Q1	41.8	3.4	2.2	-9.1	-12.1	0.8	9.3
2018Q2	13.8	7.7	4.0	-5.4	0.1	12.6	1.6
2018Q3	9.3	8.6	11.8	3.4	-5.7	6.3	-1.0

Opolskie	Podkarpackie	Podlaskie	Pomorskie	Slaskie	Swietokrzyskie	Warminsko-mazurskie	Wielkopolskie	Zachodniopomorskie
-12.2	-2.0	18.4	-2.3	3.4	-6.6	-1.7	3.4	-6.2
-7.0	-0.8	15.7	-3.2	-0.3	-31.0	-8.5	3.1	4.9
8.2	6.1	29.3	1.4	0.2	-27.2	-3.0	6.5	3.5
-2.3	4.3	5.7	7.1	-0.4	-7.6	5.1	1.5	-8.9
-8.6	5.0	-15.1	0.1	-0.4	2.8	9.3	3.9	-9.4
-1.8	10.6	-7.8	-15.7	3.6	12.7	13.8	5.7	1.9
-8.4	4.8	-15.9	2.0	-1.9	7.1	19.7	2.8	-8.6
9.3	5.3	-5.2	13.7	-2.4	9.3	17.2	1.5	-2.7
8.4	7.7	-7.5	-11.7	-2.0	12.6	5.2	3.1	3.5
5.2	9.5	5.1	6.1	7.2	17.9	13.0	5.3	-2.3
6.0	3.1	-2.1	-0.8	8.8	6.7	0.6	2.4	2.4
1.0	0.8	6.5	-3.3	10.9	-1.7	-8.3	6.9	8.6
1.5	1.0	14.8	26.2	10.4	-2.1	-7.3	8.9	7.3
-0.3	-3.8	2.4	10.1	-4.4	5.2	-14.0	4.2	-3.8
2.6	-0.5	6.3	9.3	0.6	4.9	-2.6	0.7	1.7
-4.9	3.9	2.6	12.0	0.8	-5.9	0.8	-0.2	3.6
-10.6	2.0	3.4	6.1	-1.2	-5.2	-3.5	-1.5	-0.6
-6.5	1.8	8.5	9.1	3.6	2.0	-2.3	0.0	-0.2
-7.5	0.7	5.1	6.1	0.8	9.0	6.4	0.5	8.6
-3.3	-1.5	-3.7	2.3	-2.6	7.9	-0.5	-1.3	11.6
5.5	0.5	-2.1	0.9	-0.1	5.1	7.9	-1.1	1.6
6.2	3.4	4.6	-0.7	0.5	3.3	12.9	-1.0	3.6
5.5	2.2	5.3	-3.5	-0.2	5.5	-0.1	1.8	5.8
10.9	3.5	1.4	-12.8	0.6	7.3	3.9	0.6	0.1
4.5	4.1	-0.5	-18.7	-0.3	-1.8	6.5	-0.4	3.1
2.4	3.4	-5.0	-24.1	2.5	-1.1	7.9	0.6	11.4
4.6	0.7	-0.8	-7.8	3.8	-4.1	6.1	3.5	4.4
7.0	-1.9	-0.3	1.7	-2.1	-6.4	9.7	3.2	-3.9
6.1	1.1	1.7	3.0	-1.4	3.5	4.9	1.3	3.3
2.4	-2.3	-2.3	5.7	3.6	6.7	6.4	3.9	0.3
2.8	-1.3	-9.5	-1.5	3.8	1.9	2.8	0.1	-2.2
6.6	3.5	1.9	7.2	2.3	4.7	-1.9	7.7	2.9
8.2	-0.5	0.8	9.7	0.9	9.2	3.8	5.8	-1.5
5.9	-0.8	1.9	8.7	0.9	-0.5	2.9	4.9	0.6
5.9	2.1	8.2	1.5	1.6	-8.8	2.9	7.4	5.3
-8.7	-0.4	7.1	2.3	6.1	-10.5	-0.6	3.3	4.6
-12.3	-2.0	2.4	-6.6	1.9	-5.9	4.6	6.9	3.1
5.5	0.3	4.1	0.5	-3.3	-4.3	5.9	1.9	4.6
0.4	-0.3	0.9	20.7	-4.3	7.6	-2.6	1.0	2.7
-0.9	0.1	6.8	0.9	-0.2	17.5	-4.9	1.4	3.4
8.9	-0.5	1.1	10.6	-0.1	2.6	2.4	2.6	7.8
1.8	-1.1	-3.0	11.9	6.5	-2.0	-4.4	2.1	3.3
6.6	1.4	-0.4	1.8	11.7	8.0	-5.3	6.9	0.8
7.3	2.7	-4.3	8.4	3.1	6.4	4.3	5.4	-1.7